Qualifying insider & micro signals  Intel (2022) — The Insider Illusion Signal:  CEO Open Market Buying Layer I (Macro):  Contraction Regime Layer II (Exposure):  Material Layer III (Vote):  Absent Filter Verdict:  Regime Veto Applied XYZ Cluster Buying — Transitional Noise Signal:  Multi-Executive Purchases Layer I:  Transitional Layer II:  Moderate Exposure Layer III:  Weak Sponsorship Filter Verdict:  Narrative Without Reinforcement MSTR Treasury Allocation Signal:  Corpor

During regime transitions, markets lose structural anchors and search for substitute certainty. This article explains why insider signals become over-emphasized during these periods — and why they fail to resolve uncertainty.

Insider selling often increases near market highs, but not because insiders can predict tops. This article explains why insider selling aligns with late-cycle conditions — without serving as a timing tool.

Insider selling is often misread as a bearish signal. This article explains when insider transactions actually matter — and why, in most large, diversified companies, they do not.